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For Immediate Release:
11/01/2006
For More Information:
Brad Ashwell
(850) 224-3321

Amid War and Scandal, Report Shows Money Still a Top Predictor of Election Outcomes

TALLAHASSEE—Fundraising and campaign spending are proving once again to be accurate predictors of who wins elections according to “The Wealth Primary”, a new Florida PIRG analysis of Federal Elections Commission (FEC) data for the 2006 congressional primaries.

Despite the record level of public frustration with the current Congress and the best opportunity for challengers in more than a decade, the biggest fundraisers won 92% of the 2006 major party primaries. Furthermore, party nomination campaigns were primarily funded by large contributions from less than one tenth of one percent of the electorate.

“This report confirms what every prospective candidate knows—the first questions to ask are about money. Am I rich? Do I know rich people who will give me money? If not, my chances of reaching Congress are slim and maybe I’d better pursue another line of work,” said Brad Ashwell, Legislative Advocate for Florida PIRG.

“The current campaign finance system forces candidates to compete for dollars in a ’wealth primary.’ Those who are unable to raise large sums from wealthy contributors are filtered out of the process, either because they lose their primary or they decide not to run in the first place,” added Ashwell.

The dominance of big money also appears to hinder electoral competition. With three-quarters of the races uncontested, the report suggests that the lack of competition can be traced in part to the large financial advantage enjoyed by incumbents. Incumbent candidates began the 2006 election cycle with more than $188 million in cash on hand.

“Large contributions from PACs, lobbyists, and other special interests are probably the biggest advantage of incumbency. Officeholders routinely build huge war chests that scare off credible challengers before the first vote is cast,” Ashwell noted.

Among the report’s key findings:

  • Major party congressional candidates who raised the most money won 92% of their primary races in 2006, according to FEC data. Winning candidates out-raised their opponents by a margin of 3.5 to 1, with the winners raising an average of $1.06 million and the losers raising an average of $304,000.
  • While only 0.03% of voting age Americans made a contribution to a candidate of $2,000 or more, these large donations accounted for more than 29% of the individual contributions received by primary candidates. Contributions of $200 and above, made by just 0.27% of Americans, accounted for 82% of all the candidates’ individual contributions.
  • Overall, incumbents began the 2006 election cycle with an average of more than $432,000 of cash on hand; incumbent Senators began their reelection campaigns with an average of $1.43 million already on hand.

Florida PIRG is calling on congressional candidates to sign the Voters First Pledge to limit campaign spending, provide public financing for all candidates, restrict gifts and travel from lobbyists, and to require full disclosure of all fundraising and contributions from lobbyists to members of Congress.